DECLINING FERTILITY IN THE US: INTERPRETATIONS, PREDICTIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Photo of Wendy Manning, Jessica Halliday Hardie, Kathleen Mullan Harris, Andrea Willson, and Kelly Balistreri
From left: Wendy Manning, Jessica Halliday Hardie, Kathleen Mullan Harris, Andrea Willson, and Kelly Balistreri
Monday, September 21, 2020
12:00 -4:30 pm ET
Online via Zoom

Agenda

Over the past decade, birth rates have fallen in the United States, reaching lows not seen since the 1970s. When birth rates first fell, many expected fertility to rebound as the U.S. recovered from the Great Recession. Instead, fertility continued to fall, and the U.S. now joins other industrialized countries with consistently low fertility, sparking concern over population decline and negative economic impacts. The Center for Family and Demographic Research will host three leading fertility scholars who will share their insights into the causes of today’s low birth rates, their predictions for likely trends in the future, and the implications of sustained low fertility.

Link to video

Guest Speakers:

Is U.S. Fertility Now Below Replacement? Evidence from Period vs. Cohort Trends
Lawrence L. Wu, PhD

Professor, Department of Sociology and
Director, NYU Population Center
New York University

Demographic Drivers of the Post-Recessionary Fertility Decline and the Future of U.S. Fertility
Alison Gemmill, PhD
Assistant Professor
Department of Population, Family and Reproductive Health
Johns Hopkins School of Public Health

Fertility Change in the Two Americas
Joshua R. Goldstein, PhD
Chancellor’s Professor of Demography
Department of Demography
University of California at Berkeley

Updated: 05/13/2021 01:33PM